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Earnings Highlights: Aol, Burger King, Comcast, Hershey, Kellogg, UPS ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • Aol Inc. (AOL) reported a better-than-expected Q4 profit and said its revenue also topped estimates.
  • Burger King Holdings Inc. (BKC) higher Q2 earnings topped analysts' estimates but same-store sales fell.
  • Clorox Co. (CLX) higher Q2 earnings beat expectations and it lifted its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) Q4 earnings more than doubled and beat Wall Street expectations, but shares fell.
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) shares jumped after it forecast earnings above analysts' expectations, boosted by January sales.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Aol, Burger King, Comcast, Hershey, Kellogg, UPS ...

Gap Lifts Q4 Forecast, January Sales Up

GPS logoGap (GPS - option chain) shares are rising today after the company said it expects to see Q4 EPS of 49 to 51 cents, well above analysts' estimates of 44 cents. GPS is also getting momentum from its January sales results. The retailer announced its same-store sales rose 5.0 percent in January, topping analysts' forecasts of a 4.4 percent gain. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on GPS.

GPS opened this morning at $19.57. So far today the stock has hit a low of $19.25 and a high of $20.00. As of 11:40, GPS is trading at $19.59 up 57 cents (3.0%). The chart for GPS looks neutral and S&P gives GPS a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Gap Lifts Q4 Forecast, January Sales Up

Emerging Markets and Electronics Retailers Sport Best Intangible Values

The 2009 equity market recovery has led to an increase in Q ratios for the world's largest retailers. What does this mean? They're using their tangible assets effectively and have demonstrated the strength of intangible factors, such as brand and operational efficiency, to create shareholder value.

"Q" is the ratio of a public company's market capitalization to the market value of its tangible assets. So, a Q ratio of above one means that investors value the company's non-tangible assets -- e.g., brand, differentiation, innovation, customer experience and customer loyalty -- and see these factors as reasons to pay a higher price per share. A company with a Q ratio of below one can't generate a sufficient return on its physical assets. According to Deloitte, this could create an arbitrage opportunity, as it may be ripe for an acquisition.

Continue reading Emerging Markets and Electronics Retailers Sport Best Intangible Values

Retail Results to Come this Week, but Spring Is the Test

holiday shoppingThis week, the world's top retailers will tell investors how the much-discussed holiday season went. Analysts expect a year-over-year gain of 1.3% for stores open at least a year, which of course uses a dismal 2008 as a benchmark.

The holiday shopping season is the last chance retailers get to pump up their financial statements before the close of their fiscal year, which usually comes at the end of January. For some retailers, up to 40% of their revenue comes in the weeks heading into Christmas.

Continue reading Retail Results to Come this Week, but Spring Is the Test

Early Estimates for Retail Sales Favor Online

The first estimates for the holiday shopping season have come in. MasterCard (MA) Advisors unit SpendingPulse, which tracks retail spending, puts the result at a year-over-year increase of 3.6%. This includes all form of payment and does not factor in gas and auto sales. The increase comes relative to the 2008 holiday season, which was the worst season in decades for retailers thanks to the global financial crisis.

Says Kamalesh Rao, director of economic research at SpendingPulse, "Last year the economy and consumer spending were in free fall. This year we're talking about an environment that has stabilized, that has seen a leveling off." But, that doesn't mean it's turned the corner yet. Holiday spending isn't enough to cure what ails us.

Continue reading Early Estimates for Retail Sales Favor Online

Before the Bell: Futures Inch Higher to Begin the Year's Last Trading Week

U.S. stock futures inched higher, but were relatively flat, indicating investors are more cautious as they return from the holidays. Last week, markets staged a rally with all three major indexes at highs for the year. The last trading week of the year begins with Airlines, retailers, health insurers in focus following major news in each sector. Volumes are still expected to be low.

An attempt to blow up a U.S. passenger Northwest Airlines Detroit-bound jet on Christmas Day caused led to new security measures and travel restrictions that increase costs and inconvenience for airlines and passengers.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Inch Higher to Begin the Year's Last Trading Week

Analyst Calls: RIMM, NTRS, STT, UHS, POT, BCR, O, JCI, GPS, WMG

Analyst Upgrades

  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Research in Motion (RIMM) to hold from sell to reflect the company's Q3 results and guidance. The firm raised its target price on shares to $75 from $60.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Northern Trust (NTRS) and State Street (STT) to outperform from market perform to reflect valuation and favorable longer-term secular trends. The firm keeps a $58 price target on Northern Trust and a $51 target on State Street.
  • UBS upgraded Universal Health (UHS) to buy from neutral and raised its target to $38 from $31. The firm said hospital checks indicate bad debt has not increased vs. Q3 and that Universal Health should report an in-line to better-than-expected Q4.
  • Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) was upgraded to hold from sell at Kaufman Bros.
  • Whiting Petroleum (WLL) was raised to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
  • BP Plc (BP) was upgraded at Goldman to buy from neutral.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: RIMM, NTRS, STT, UHS, POT, BCR, O, JCI, GPS, WMG

Buy Aeropostale after the increase in share repurchases?

Aeropostale (ARO), a mall business whose related stocks include Gap (GPS) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), closed up over 4% at the end of Monday's trading session. The catalyst? According to the corporate press release, management has decided to allocate an additional $250 million to its share buyback program.

This is very interesting news because the big question on every investor's mind has to do with the current holiday season. How well will retailers fare during Christmas? Or, more accurately, will Christmas be as bad as everyone thinks it will be?

Continue reading Buy Aeropostale after the increase in share repurchases?

Black Friday busy, but momentum may not hold

Stores were busy on Black Friday, as deals lured recession-weary consumers out of their homes. The spending was cautious, but the crowds and transactions signaled strength.

Nonetheless, retailers are still concerned that the momentum is only temporary. With consumer spending still under pressure because of high unemployment, there's a risk that holiday shopping may not reach the levels the stores would like to see. The day after Thanksgiving is usually the hottest of the year and can account for close to 20% of annual retail sales.

Continue reading Black Friday busy, but momentum may not hold

Before the bell: Futures sharply lower on Dubai's debt problems

U.S. stock futures tumbled this Black Friday morning, as markets resumed trading after the Thanksgiving holiday only to join the world markets' selloff following the Dubai debt problems. With the markets open for half a day, only until 1:00 p.m. Eastern, trading could be thin, which may contribute to the downward move. For now, futures are indicating Wall Street is set to open sharply lower.

The news about Dubai's debt problems broke late Wednesday when the government of Dubai acknowledged it had asked its banks for a six-month stay on its schedule of debt repayments for two of its flagship firms, as they begin restructuring. Dubai World has liabilities of $59 billion, its subsidiary Nakheel said in August, a large proportion of Dubai's total debt of $80 billion. As markets were struggling to figure out what kind of exposure banks had to Dubai debt, banks outside the Gulf played down on Friday their exposure to Dubai debt.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures sharply lower on Dubai's debt problems

Consumers sick of recession, may spend extra on holidays

If consumers try a little harder this year, the holiday season has a shot of hiding memories of last year's nightmare for retailers. The retailers are doing their part, with Walmart (WMT), Gap (GPS), RadioShack (RSH), Walgreens (WAG) and many others opening their doors Thanksgiving Day, giving shoppers the opportunity to start their spending early. There's a chance that consumers will spend a bit more this year to thank each other for keeping their belts so tight for so long.

Forecasts of the season's ultimate result remain difficult to pin down. Some expect a year-over-year decline of 3%, and predictions range to an increase of 2%. Credit is harder to come by, and unemployment remains over 10% and at a 26-year high. But, the pressures on spending are offset by pent-up emotion and a stabilizing financial environment -- even if it isn't getting better yet, it doesn't seem to be getting worse.

Continue reading Consumers sick of recession, may spend extra on holidays

Retailers can't wait for Black Friday, open Thursday

If Thanksgiving is a bird, a beer and a football game for you, prepare to have your thinking challenged. Many retailers are looking to get a head start on Black Friday this year, opening a day early, some of them for the first time. Most Old Navy Stores (GPS) will open their doors on Thursday, along with Wal-Mart (WMT), Toys "R" Us, RadioShack (RSH) and Walgreen's (WAG). Rather than bet solely on Friday, retailers are looking to eke every last dime they can out of the holiday season this year.

The National Retail Federation expects holiday spending to drop 1% this year to $437.6 billion. "Retailers need to be competitive," says NRF spokeswoman Ellen Davis. "There's a lot riding on the success of November and December retail sales."

Continue reading Retailers can't wait for Black Friday, open Thursday

J. Crew reports an excellent quarter: Is the stock a buy before the holidays?

Here's a stock I've been wrong about. I've been bearish on J. Crew Group (JCG), as this previous article will indicate. But since the latest quarterly results show a vast improvement of the retailer's fundamentals, I guess you could say I was decidedly behind the curve.

According to the earnings release, revenues increased 14% in the third quarter. Same-store sales advanced 8%. Net income more than doubled to 67 cents per diluted share. A lot of this good news was expected, as Trey Thoelcke pointed out in his earnings preview. Still, the bottom line beat the analysts by several pennies. And you've got to love the increase seen in the gross margin.

Continue reading J. Crew reports an excellent quarter: Is the stock a buy before the holidays?

Earnings highlights: Dell, Foot Locker, Gap, Lowe's, Saks, Target ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • ADC Telecommunications Inc. (ADCT) posted a surprise net loss for Q4 and predicted a loss in Q1.
  • BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. (BJ) shares fell after Q3 earnings met expectations and offered guidance for FY.
  • Dell Inc. (DELL) posted lower-than-expected Q3 earnings, prompting a sell-off of shares.
  • Foot Locker Inc. (FL) said Q3 earnings slumped more than analysts' forecast, sending shares lower.
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) reported growth of EPS and revenue in Q3 and announced a share buyback program.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Dell, Foot Locker, Gap, Lowe's, Saks, Target ...

Traders unimpressed with Gap's 25% profit jump

Thursday, The Gap Inc. (GPS) reported that its third-quarter net profit totaled $307 million, or 44 cents per share, up 25% from the year-ago period. Revenue for the quarter added 1% to $3.59 billion, while gross margin surged 380 basis points to 42.5%. Operating margin escalated from 11.1% to 13.9%, marking its highest level in 10 years.

The retail issue also announced a new stock buyback plan worth $500 million. About $20 million of that amount will be repurchased from the family of founder Donald Fisher, who passed away in September.

Continue reading Traders unimpressed with Gap's 25% profit jump

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+170.0510,078.44
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S&P 500+15.491,072.23

Last updated: February 09, 2010: 12:49 PM

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